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Sutton United v Arsenal: Pre-Match Analysis

February 19, 2017Leave a commentFootball Tips Today, PreviewBy Michael

Sutton United v Arsenal: (19:45, 20/02/17, BBC One):

National League Sutton host Arsenal on their artificial 3G pitch at Green Gander Lane this Monday. Sutton are the lowest ranked side left in the FA Cup and reached the 5th round beating Forest Green and Dartford and then dispatching of Football League sides Cheltenham, Wimbledon and Leeds. Rory Deacon functions from wide areas and has 5 goals in 6 FA Cup appearances this season. Paul Doswell is likely to opt to start with 1 up top in the form of Maxime Biamou who has 6 goals for Sutton this season, 3 of those came in the FA Cup. Sutton also have experienced journeyman Striker Matt Tubbs at their disposal. Craig Eastmond will start in Midfield against his former club. Sutton have no new injury concerns. For those that fancy the upset, Sutton are best priced at 28/1 to win on Monday and 12/1 to qualify from the tie.

Arsenal come into this game on the back of a 5-1 midweek Champions League loss away to Bayern Munich, The Gunners have lost 3 of their last 4 games in all competitions. Arsene Wenger is likely to ring the changes on Monday as has been the case in previous rounds, although Arsenal do not have a game after this for 2 weeks. Arsenal overcame a tricky 3rd round tie away at Preston and then comfortably thrashed Southampton 5-0 at St Mary’s in the previous round. Danny Welbeck played for Arsenal U23’s on Sunday afternoon so won’t feature on Monday. Wenger will likely use Lucas Perez and Theo Walcott in wide areas with Jeff Reine-Adelaide playing behind Olivier Giroud.

In terms of a best bet, Sutton will make things difficult for Arsenal but The Gunners have obvious quality on display and their best price of 2/11 reflects this. In a tie like this it can often be difficult to find value. Arsenal -2 handicap is 23/20 with Sporting Bet compared to below evens with most bookmakers. Arsenal have not failed to score in any of their last 16 matches in all competitions and I can’t see that changing here. -2 looks a good value bet and for those without a Sporting Bet account, Paddy Power are offering 11/10. Lucas Perez is naturally a Striker and so from wide areas looks to make diagonal runs in behind, if he starts the 13/8 offered by Sky Bet on him to outscore the opposition could prove a shrewd bet. Alternatively, Arsenal to win both halves at Evens and to score 2+ first half goals at 5/4 look noteworthy bets.

@benlevene96

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