Football Tips Today Acca for Saturday 28/10/2017
Lazio v Roma: Pre-Match Analysis
Lazio come into this game in a rich vein of form, winning 4 of their last 5 in all competitions. Simone Inzaghi’s men overcame Genoa and Inter Milan to reach this stage, with both teams scoring on both occasions. Lazio have failed to score in just 3 home games in all competitions, interestingly these were also their only 3 home losses this season. Both teams have scored in 4 of Lazio’s last 5 matches and 8 of their last 12 at the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio have been reliant on the goals of Ciro Immobile this season, he has 14 including 3 in his last 4. Lazio usually line up in a 4-3-3 with Felipe Anderson and Baldo Keita either side of Ciro Immobile, while Marco Parolo provides strong running from midfield.
Roma beat Sampdoria and Cesena to reach this stage and currently lie 2nd in Serie A. Roma have won 6 of their last 7, with the loss coming in the second leg of an already won Europa League tie against Villarreal. Roma’s away form has been impressive of late, they have won their last 3 away games as well as 5 of their last 6 on the road. 4 of those 5 wins were to nil. Roma are unbeaten in 7 meetings with Lazio in this fiery fixture and have won each of their last 3 at the Stadio Olimpico including a win earlier this season. Edin Dzeko has been in scintillating form this seasons and is Serie A’s joint top scorer with 19 goals and has 29 goals in 36 appearances in all competitions this season. Luciano Spalleti will opt to start with a back 3 meaning that Radja Nainggolan will continue to enjoy a more advanced role that has seen him score 12 goals this season, including 7 away from home.
Given that this is a two-legged affair and a meeting between two fierce rivals, I expected it to be a cagey affair. The last 6 meetings between these sides have seen a total of 42 yellow cards, an average of 7 per match. The last 2 meetings have seen 8 cards, including a red card on each occasion. This is the first of two legs and cards may be at more of a premium but over 70 and 80 booking points at 8/13 and 10/11 respectively are worth noting. Roma have scored 2 or more goals in 7 of their last 8, with the anomaly coming when much changed at home to Villarreal in the Europa League. Lazio have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 12 home matches and it is because of this that Roma to score 2 or more goals at 11/10 looks appealing. The fact that Marchetti is doubtful enhances the appeal of this. Both teams to score is 8/13 with most, so this provides a good value alternative. I’d be tempted to cover this with 1-1 correct score at 13/2.
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