
Juventus v Palermo (19:45, 17/02/17, BT Sport 2):
Juventus come into this game top of Serie A and on the back of 5 consecutive league wins, all of which were to nil. Interestingly, all 5 of those games had Under 2.5 goals. Juventus have won all 12 of their home games in the league this season, which explains why they are best priced at 1/6 for the win. 9 of Juventus’ 12 home games have had Over 2.5 goals, however, all 3 home games with Under 2.5 goals have come in their last 4, including each of their last 2. This change possibly reflects the evolution of Allegri’s 4-2-3-1 formation in recent weeks. Over 2.5 goals is priced at around 1/2 with Unders best priced at 17/10, when you consider Juventus’ recent form in terms of goals, there could be value to be had here. 6 of Juventus’ last 7 home games have seen Juve win with Under 3.5 goals. Juventus to win and Under 3.5 goals is best priced at 21/20 with Betway and certainly possesses some value. Allegri’s side tend to sit on 1 or 2 goal leads, this has been reflected in recent weeks with 4 of their last 5 games ending 2-0.
Palermo currently sit in the relegation zone but have improved in recent weeks. They have lost 6 of their last 8 away games but have scored in 11 of their last 12 on the road, firing blank just once. 6 of Palermo’s last 8 away games have had Over 2.5 goals although 3 of their last 4 league games have seen Under 2.5 goals. This does just suggest that Juventus and Both Teams to Score at 11/5 could be an angle however Juventus are simply a class above any other Serie A opposition and when you consider their recent results, it is worth steering clear of any both teams to score market. Palermo can be found at 28/1 for the win while The Draw can be backed at 8’s.
Gonzalo Higuain has 4 goals in his last 4 and is as short as 1/3 to score anytime while Paulo Dybala has 4 in his last 5 home games but again is below evens to score anytime. Nestorovski has 2 in his last 3 for Palermo and can be found at 6/1 to score anytime. Dybala takes penalties and provides a good alternative as Higuain seems a tad to short for me. In terms of corners, Juventus have had 5 or more corners in 5 of their last 6 home games while Palermo have conceded 5 or more corners in each of their last 5 away matches.







