Football Tips Today Acca for Saturday 28/10/2017
Barcelona v PSG: Pre-Match Betting Analysis
Barcelona come into this game 4-0 down on aggregate after being blown away by Unai Emery’s PSG side in Paris a fortnight ago. The Catalan giants will inevitably start fast and in recent hours have been backed into 7/1 from 20/1 to qualify for the Quarter-Finals. Barcelona have not been their usual selves this season and so they have subsequently announced Luis Enrique leaving at the end of the season. He won this competition 2 seasons ago with Barca and will surely be looking to have one last crack at it this season. PSG frustrated Enrique’s men last time out, Lionel Messi is the competitions top goalscorer this season with 10 goals in 7 appearances and makes up a dangerous attacking front 3 alongside Neymar and Luis Suarez. Right-Back has been a position of issue to Barca this season. With Alex Vidal out injured, Sergi Roberto has deputised however in recent weeks Enrique has experimented with a back 3.
PSG were so impressive in the first leg and will still need to be at their best to see this tie out. Manager Unai Emery has a fantastic record in European competitions, winning the Europa League in consecutive seasons with Sevilla. Young Presnel Kimpembe was tremendous in the reverse fixture but with Captain Thiago Silva available, he is likely to miss out. Edinson Cavani will provide willing running in behind as always while Julian Draxler and Angel Di Maria will provide attacking quality from wide areas. Adrien Rabiot and Biase Matuidi will give strong running and physicality allowing Marco Verratti to get on the ball and dictate things.
Barcelona will start fast and will need an early goal but PSG will be dangerous on the counter, as they were in the first leg. I expect goals here and it is no surprise that Over 2.5 goals is priced at a short 2/7 while both teams to score is 2/5. Over 1.5 first half goals is worth noting given that Barcelona will surely need at least two first half goals to keep up hope of progressing while PSG do have the capability to pick them off against the run of play, as was evident in Paris. An angle I very much like here is Barcelona on the corner count, I expect PSG to defend relatively deep and try to counter, as was the case in the second half of the first leg. Barcelona will be pushing for a goal and so expect them to notch up a lot of corners. They average over 7 team corners per home game in La Liga. In the corner handicap market with Betfair I think Barcelona -2 first half corners at 11/10 looks a very shrewd bet.
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